Good news! Crime down in Rhuthun by 14 per cent!
This headline figure supports what local bobbies have recently said in the local press. It reinforces what we all really know—that Rhuthun's relatively safe and sound. And, as one elderly person in their 70s wrote in Thursday's Free Press, "I am happy to walk home from meetings in the late evening all by myself… we have nothing to fear".
The 14 per cent reduction comes directly from the North Wales police's website. Here you will find local crime maps. Each shows reported crime from the last quarter of 2008 and compares it with the same period in 2007. Hence the 14 per cent reduction in Rhuthun.
You can have endless fun comparing areas. But hang on. If the trend in Rhuthun is in the right direction how come crime in adjacent Efenechtyd ward has increased by 250 per cent? Has a troublesome family moved into that area? Should the good people south west of Rhuthun be alarmed?
Well, consider this. Llanfair DC (+129%), Llanrhaeadr YC (+133%), Llandyrnog (-8%), Llanbedr DC (-36%) and Rhuthun itself (-14%) are all areas classed by the police as having "average" crime levels. Now, I'm starting to get worried.
Fear not, though, because "average" crime levels are average for the North Wales police area and mercifully not for the UK as a whole. Great swathes of North Wales are "average" and that's not surprising because statistically most things must be, well, average! It's the nature of the term. Sir y Fflint/Flintshire is below average and Wrecsam above.
So, what conclusions can we draw? Efenechtyd's crime wave is a result of an increase from two reported crimes during the last quarter of 2007 to seven this time around. Statistically, this is a 250 per cent increase but it's based on a very low base. How likely is it to maintain such growth? The last quarter of 2009 could revert to two crimes, reversing the increase completely. Small numbers can distort statistics.
Rhuthun's figure itself gives an average of four crimes per 1,000 population. During the same quarter in 2007, it was 4.6. This is (about) a 14 per cent reduction. Yet, anti-social behaviour increased by an alarming 53 per cent but this accounted for just 1.6 cases per 1,000, or about three a month in total. There were no robberies and 0.3 burglaries per 1,000.
I'd say Rhuthun was pretty much a crime-free area. No matter what the statistics infer.
This headline figure supports what local bobbies have recently said in the local press. It reinforces what we all really know—that Rhuthun's relatively safe and sound. And, as one elderly person in their 70s wrote in Thursday's Free Press, "I am happy to walk home from meetings in the late evening all by myself… we have nothing to fear".
The 14 per cent reduction comes directly from the North Wales police's website. Here you will find local crime maps. Each shows reported crime from the last quarter of 2008 and compares it with the same period in 2007. Hence the 14 per cent reduction in Rhuthun.
You can have endless fun comparing areas. But hang on. If the trend in Rhuthun is in the right direction how come crime in adjacent Efenechtyd ward has increased by 250 per cent? Has a troublesome family moved into that area? Should the good people south west of Rhuthun be alarmed?Well, consider this. Llanfair DC (+129%), Llanrhaeadr YC (+133%), Llandyrnog (-8%), Llanbedr DC (-36%) and Rhuthun itself (-14%) are all areas classed by the police as having "average" crime levels. Now, I'm starting to get worried.
Fear not, though, because "average" crime levels are average for the North Wales police area and mercifully not for the UK as a whole. Great swathes of North Wales are "average" and that's not surprising because statistically most things must be, well, average! It's the nature of the term. Sir y Fflint/Flintshire is below average and Wrecsam above.
So, what conclusions can we draw? Efenechtyd's crime wave is a result of an increase from two reported crimes during the last quarter of 2007 to seven this time around. Statistically, this is a 250 per cent increase but it's based on a very low base. How likely is it to maintain such growth? The last quarter of 2009 could revert to two crimes, reversing the increase completely. Small numbers can distort statistics.
Rhuthun's figure itself gives an average of four crimes per 1,000 population. During the same quarter in 2007, it was 4.6. This is (about) a 14 per cent reduction. Yet, anti-social behaviour increased by an alarming 53 per cent but this accounted for just 1.6 cases per 1,000, or about three a month in total. There were no robberies and 0.3 burglaries per 1,000.
I'd say Rhuthun was pretty much a crime-free area. No matter what the statistics infer.
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Police